PRESENTING

DR. Ed Seifried

Co-Chairman Emertius

Seifried & Brew

DETAILS

Economic Update

Small business owners and Ag producers share similar economic concerns as we enter the 4th quarter of 2022. The overriding issue is whether the Fed can bring the rate of inflation back down to their announced target of 2.0% without causing an economic downturn, which would lead to declining earnings. Another major concern is just how much Fed tightening will be required to end this exceedingly high inflation. The Fed tightening program is already underway with a total rate hike of 3.75% through the November FOMC meeting, with more rate hikes predicted over the next quarter.  Many pundits believe the Prime Rate could be as high as 7.50% or even 7.75% by the end of 2022. In addition, an aggressive program to reduce the Fed’s balance sheet was implemented in June 2022. These cuts in the balance sheet are scheduled to accelerate in 2023. Dr. Ed will report on just what all this means for business owners. He will keep an eye on economic conditions to see whether the Fed can achieve the so-called elusive soft landing.   

DR. Ed Seifried

Co-Chairman Emeritus, Seifried & Brew

Dr. Seifried is Professor Emeritus of Economics and Business at Lafayette College in Easton, Pennsylvania.  He also serves as the Executive Consultant for the Sheshunoff CEO Affiliation Programs, and Chief Economist for SB Value Partners and SWGSB Foundation.

Dr. Seifried is the dean of the Virginia and West Virginia Banking Schools and currently is on the faculty of the Southwest Graduate School of Banking. In addition, he has served on the faculty of numerous banking schools including Stonier Graduate School of Banking, and the Graduate School of Banking of the South.

He frequently appears as a guest speaker at regional and national conferences and has delivered over 2500 economic presentation to various groups both in the United States and abroad.  Dr. Seifried is the author of the book “The Art of Strategic Planning for Community Banks.”  In addition to his academic and consulting experience, Dr. Seifried serves as a director of a community bank. 

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